Giving advanced warning of weather extremes – Mark Saunders

Giving advanced warning of weather extremes – Mark Saunders

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[MUSIC] My name is Mark Saunders I work at the Mullard Space Science Laboratory at University College London in the scenic Surrey countryside. My research is on tropical cyclones worldwide, and European extreme weather. I create innovative products and services for their real time monitoring and forecasting and also make seasonal forecasts. We’re looking at forecast wind probability for cyclone Phailin that struck the east coast
of India. Tropical cyclones and European windstorms cause considerable damage and loss of life. Models which can reduce
the risk and impact of these severe storms will be of great help. Our work over the past ten years has created services called Tropical
Storm Risk and Euro Tempest ltd. To date these have generated nearly one and a
half million pounds in commercial sales. They have created free storm alerts and
seasonal forecasts to more than 24,000 subscribers and reinsurance companies worldwide. And we have made important contributions to saving lives in Bangladesh, from Cyclone Sidr and tropical storm Mahasen. This is the peak forecast gust field for typhoon Haiyan. forecasting peak gusts of over 170 miles per hour. That is one scary big storm. We’ve benefited the services of over
twenty international organizations. These
include the Norwegian Hull Club, which uses our warnings to help its
portfolio of over 9600 vessels worldwide steer clear of dangerous tropical storms. The funding has also led to my team winning presitigious insurance industry awards at the Royal Albert Hall and to us
publishing first author papers in Nature on hurricane
impacts. Further extreme weather services and
products are under development These include a
new UK extreme gas climatology underpinned by a hundred years of data, which will benefit insurance pricing. And more useful real time tropical cyclone warning products, to benefit humanitarian work.

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